While new-boss Martin Schmidt might not have made the most dramatic impact upon arrival at Wolfsburg, the Wolves do have a refreshed look to them in the hands of the former Mainz 05 manager. Under his guidance, Wolfsburg are unbeaten in six (W1 D5), over which the Wolves have taken impressive points against Bayern Munich (a 2-2 draw), Bayer Leverkusen (another 2-2 draw), and TSG Hoffenheim (a 1-1 draw) – even with veteran striker Mario Gomez sidelined for parts!
Hertha Berlin have established themselves as a top half team in the Bundesliga for one reason: their strong performances at home. On the road though, the Berliners have been far from their best. Hertha have taken just two points from four away days this season and their atrocious away form stretches back as far as the new year – Hertha have lost 10 of their 13 Bundesliga matches on the road in 2017.
From a betting perspective though, backing under 2.5 goals looks to be the way to go. Wolfsburg v Hertha hasn’t been the most exciting match up in recent years (see team news) and this doesn’t look set to change here – under 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of Wolfsburg’s home matches and 100% of Hertha Berlin’s away matches this term. With Hertha also having the added strain of mid-week European competition to contend with, there’s even less chance that the Berliners will shake off this seeming inability to perform on the road.
In terms of how it’ll stand at the final whistle, the Wolves’ result speak for themselves. Wolfsburg have proven themselves a stubborn team to beat, losing just two of their opening ten matches (W1 D7 L2). Schmidt’s style sees Wolfsburg step up to challenge tougher opposition and yet somewhat under-perform in the winnable matches, and with 5 of the last 6 league matches at the Volkswagen ending 1-1, backing another here doesn’t seem a bad option. Our prediction: a 1-1 draw.