The long wait for a Sunderland home win continued at the weekend as they lost again at the Stadium of Light against Bristol City. They won’t get a better chance to end their winless home record in 2017 than this game against the only side below them in the Championship. Failure to do so could very well spell the end for boss Simon Grayson, however Bolton look to have turned a corner and will fancy they can get a result.
This game sees two of the three worst defences in the division meet and we ought to see goals at both ends. Sunderland are yet to keep a clean sheet all season in the Championship. It’s nearly six months since they last shut the opposition out in a league match and that stat alone suggests there will be a goal in this for the visitors.
However going forward Sunderland do carry a threat. Lewis Grabban has made an impact with 6 goals in 10 appearances this term while Duncan Watmore is fit again and also asks questions. Both teams have scored in all of their last 7 league matches and there’s a good chance that,that sequence will be extended here.
Bolton are also bidding for their first away win of the season and they came within seconds of it at the weekend, only for Tom Cairney’s late goal to ensure they left Craven Cottage with just a point. It was still a good result and a further indication that they are warming to the challenge of Championship football.
However with just 1 clean sheet in 17 competitive games this term, it’s still very hard to see them keeping it tight at the back for 90 minutes. Both defences have a mistake in them and going for Both Teams to Score at 10/11 looks good.
With Sunderland without a home win and Bolton without an away success, the easy conclusion here is that this one is destined to end up all square. The trouble with such long winless streaks is that teams forget how to see games out, which is partly what we saw with Bolton at the weekend. They’ve now drawn 43% of their away games this term and are unbeaten in 3 matches overall. Even against weak opposition, it’s impossible to feel confident about Sunderland at home right now and backing the Draw at 27/10 is surely the value bet in the Full-Time result market.