It feels like we’ve been waiting all season for the true Real Madrid to stand up and we perhaps saw signs of that as they demolished APOEL in the Champions League in Cyprus in midweek. However their league form is still unconvincing and already it feels like they are at the point where no more slip-ups can be tolerated, with Barcelona already holding a 10 point advantage on them.
This game in truth shouldn’t be a huge obstacle and it’s tough to look past a home win. Malaga are having a dreadful season but can at least take some confidence from a comeback win last weekend at home to Depor that has seen them move off the bottom. However their away record is not one that inspires confidence ahead of a trip to the Bernabeu.
They’ve lost all of their seven competitive away games this term and are the only side in La Liga without an away point. In their defence, they have had a really tough set of opening away games On the conclusion of this game they will have already travelled to all of last season’s top five plus Valencia, who are having a cracking campaign. It could scarcely have been any tougher but Michel will still be bitterly disappointed by his team’s failure to even score a goal in any of their opening six away fixtures.
They’ve lost 67% of their league matches to nil this term and those stats alone make backing Real Madrid to win to nil look like a smart move here, particularly given Los Blancos come into this game following three straight clean sheets.
It won’t necessarily be a cricket score though. Malaga will be very cautious and despite their poor record, they’ve conceded more than twice in only 1 of their last 12 away matches in La Liga and their last three trips to Sevilla, Villarreal and Barcelona have all resulted in 2-0 defeats.
A repeat would be no surprise here. Los Blancos haven’t hit top gear in the final third yet and an average of 1.83 goals scored per game in La Liga is poor by their standards. 83% of their matches have seen under 3.5 goals in total and backing Real Madrid to Win & Under 3.5 Goals looks good in this one.
In addition, going for Marco Asensio to score anytime could be worth a punt. He’s hit 7 goals already this term and all of his 4 league goals have come at home.