Marseille’s push for Champions League football picked up where it left off on Saturday afternoon, as they cruised to victory away at Rennes. Rudi García’s men, who’re now just one point behind 2nd place Monaco, have lost just one of their last 15 Ligue 1 matches and are becoming increasingly hard to get the better of. Strasbourg are likely to have their work cut out at the Vélodrome on Tuesday evening, especially if they perform as poorly as they did against Guingamp last time out.
Against a Strasbourg side who’ve dropped off recently, Marseille have an excellent opportunity to continue their strong form and they’re expected to play accordingly. In seasons gone by, Tuesday’s hosts have been guilty of offering less than they should going forward, but that’s not been the case this season, especially at home. Marseille have scored an impressive 21 goals in nine Ligue 1 home matches this season, while they’ve conceded just seven at the other end. Only Nantes have conceded less goals on home soil than Rudi García’s side this season.
At the prices, the bet that catches the eye is ‘Marseille to Win -1.5 Asian Handicap’. Not only have Marseille managed to score at least twice in six of their nine home matches this season, they’ve also won by at least two goals on five occasions. Interestingly, only PSG have taken more shots at home than Marseille have in Ligue 1 this campaign. Their attacking intentions have been clear right from the opening weekend and they’re unlikely to change here. Against a Strasbourg side who’ve leaked a lot of goals away from home, the hosts are expected to record another convincing victory.
To say that Strasbourg have leaked goals on the road is perhaps a slight understatement. Thierry Laurey’s side have conceded more goals away from home (20) than all but two of Ligue 1’s other 19 teams. Such a poor defensive record could perhaps be excused if they were firing at the other end, but that hasn’t been the case for Strasbourg, as they’ve scored just nine goals on their travels. The visitors have also failed to score in 50% of their games away from the comforts of home.
Scoring goals isn’t necessarily the be-all and end-all; plenty of teams go through lean spells, but continue to create scoring opportunities. However, from a creative point of view, the visitors have been lacking. Against Guingamp last time out, creating clear-cut chances was a real problem. Against a Marseille side who’re good at allowing teams little on their own patch, the visitors could once again be faced with the same problems.
All things considered, despite sharing six goals in a thrilling draw in the reverse fixture, there can only be one winner on this occasion. Backing the hosts to come out on top by a clear margin is the way for punters to go.