Leganes made a cracking start to the campaign but somewhat inevitably a difficult run of fixtures has seen them fade away slightly in recent weeks. This is certainly another tough one against a Villarreal side that has top six ambitions at the very least. It’s also a match that is unlikely to provide many goals.
So far this season Leganes have been much improved defensively. Somewhat like neighbours Atleti, they’ve looked to build from the back and their clean sheet ratio of 54% in La Liga this term is something they can be very proud of. At home, that goes up to an outstanding 67% and they’ve only conceded in 1 of their last 5 competitive home games and that was against leaders Barcelona.
Going forward though, Leganes look short on quality. They’ve also failed to score in 50% of their home league fixtures and have gone over 300 minutes in La Liga without a goal heading into this one. Their average of 0.69 goals per game is the second worst in the division and they struggled to break down lower league opposition in the Copa del Rey in midweek, beating Real Valladolid 1-0 in Madrid.
Therefore Villarreal may feel that they might only need to score once to win this. That won’t be easy against organised opposition but the visitors have a bit more quality going forward with Carlos Bacca looking like he is back to his best, with a wonder-goal against former club Sevilla last weekend.
Villarreal aren’t hugely prolific on the road though. They’ve scored just 1 goal per game away from home this term in La Liga and have failed to score in 31% of their league games overall, not great for a team with European ambitions.
The stats for this game certainly strongly point towards it being a low-scoring contest. Both teams have scored in only 15% of Leganes matches this term in La Liga and in just 17% of their home games. Meanwhile only 38% of Villarreal games have seen goals at both ends so there’s plenty of reason to think at least one of these teams will fail to net in this match and as a result, backing Both Teams to Score – NO may be the way to go.