SPAL have made the best start of any of the newly promoted teams, although that isn’t saying much. They’re still sat on the verge of the relegation zone, having taken just 10 points from their opening 13 games in Serie A this term. Can they improve on that when they travel to midtable Chievo on Saturday? The visitors will be hoping to open up a gap between themselves and the bottom three, leaving the other two promoted sides in their wake.
Chievo could be forgiven for feeling a bit of deja vu, as they’ve tailed off after a defeat to AC Milan. The same thing happened last year, as their good start was followed by some slip ups after losing to the Rossoneri. The Gialloblu have taken just two points from their last four matches, conceding nine times in that spell. They’re still comfortably clear of the drop, but can they return to winning ways against SPAL?
The visitors are still searching for their first win of the season on the road, while they’ve picked up just two victories in 13 matches. The Serie A newcomers have lost 67% of their away games, but they have managed to claim draws at two of Italy’s Europa League representatives: Atalanta and Lazio. Will they be able to pick up another result on the road this weekend? Given that 69% of Chievo’s matches this season have seen both teams score, SPAL are probably going to need to score a goal.
SPAL have improved in front of goal in recent weeks, after it seemed like they’d spend a season defending for their lives. They’ve now scored in seven of their last eight league games, with six of those seeing both teams find the net. The Biancazzurri have scored in their last three away, which includes trips to Juventus and Atalanta. In comparison, this trip should be as difficult.
Given that Chievo have seen both teams score in all but one of their home matches this season, we’re backing BTTS in this clash. The visitors have conceded in 85% of their league games, so a goal on each side seems likely here. On top of that, we’re backing these two to play out a 1-1 draw, with half of SPAL’s away trips this season seeing exactly two goals scored.