Basel came into this Champions League groups as underdogs to challenge for qualification, with Manchester United, CSKA Moscow, and Benfica all predicted to be tough tests for the Swiss side. Fortunately for them, they have managed to defy the odds.
The hosts started the campaign with a 3-0 loss at Manchester United, but that was to be expected to be honest. Their real test came when they hosted Benfica, and they didn’t disappoint, as they battered the Portuguese visitors 5-0 before following it up with a 2-0 win away to CSKA Moscow.
This puts Basel in a fantastic position to qualify from this Champions League group. They sit 2nd in the table, three points ahead of CSKA Moscow and three behind Manchester United. A victory on Tuesday would put them six points clear inside the qualification places with just two games left to play, all but sealing their place in the knockout rounds.
It’s not just been the Champions League where they’ve been impressing. In all competitions they are unbeaten in eight games, winning six of them and conceding just two goals in the process. This defensive stability has been an excellent foundation in the Champions League, and back at home you would expect another clean sheet against the CSKA side who lost 2-0 in Moscow.
CSKA Moscow aren’t in the best place overall either. They have won just one of their last eight games in all competitions and have lost four times in this period. They have failed to score in a disappointing six of these games too, and given Basel’s excellent defensive record, backing Basel to Win to Nil looks a good choice at 15/8.
There’s more value to be had from this game though. Basel have scored at least two goals in five of their last seven in all competitions and put five past Benfica. Meanwhile, CSKA Moscow have shipped at least two in two of their group matches so far and in four of their last seven away days in the Champions League. Odds of 5/6 for Basel Over 1.5 Team Goals look great value, alongside a 3-0 correct score predictions.
We’re also backing young striker Dimitri Oberlin to score for our anytime goalscorer predictions. The 20 year old has scored three Champions League goals despite coming off the bench in two of his three appearances. With main striker Ricky van Wolkswinkel out injured the Swiss striker is expected to start on Tuesday, so we’re backing him to continue his fledgling career.